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6 Facts That Give Forex Traders An Edge

Forex
Over the past few years, FX markets have exploded in popularity amongst retail traders. Hard to say if that was due to heavy promotional efforts from the industry itself, or whether the continual pumping of FX trading is a result of increased interest and demand. In any event, there are a lot of misconceptions and mistruths floating out there that need to be addressed. Most of the myths involve spot currency aka "FX" markets but some include currency futures, too.

Currency Markets Are Totally Random

Not at all... nothing could be further from the truth. An individual's stock price movement can be pushed up, down or sideways by an endless procession of factors. Part may be economic, part fundamentals to specific company, industry or sector. Another part of stock market action is pure emotion. Someone makes or sells a widget with perceived value higher than what turns out to be economic reality. Doesn't matter... stock prices can remain pumped on pure emotion longer than rational people can comprehend.

Currency markets aren't like that. They are purely supply and demand, a commodity if you will. Each currency is weighted on economic conditions for that specific denomination versus any or all others in the marketplace. Price value of currencies is nothing more than a reflection of where that denomination's economy ranks as weak or strong relative to others. There is no sentimental or emotional impact on a currency. No one buys the British Pound to unreasonable heights because they like the color scheme of those bills. No one sells the USD/CHF because that country has great skiing in the winter; therefore it's a "play" to profit from guesswork of increased tourism. If the Swiss economy is weak or strong, it'll be amply

Ready to Retire? Plan an Exit Strategy

Retirement Planning
After years of hard work, you've decided to call it quits and retire. But before waving goodbye to your colleagues, you'll want to plan an exit strategy. A smooth transition requires more than just figuring out how to survive without a steady paycheck. You'll also need to figure out how to cope with the emotional impact of forgoing a routine you've followed for most of your adult life. "One of the biggest challenges in retirement is really staying engaged," says Tom Nelson, chief operating officer of AARP in Washington. Here are some steps to pave the way to retirement:

Create a health-care fund. If you don't qualify for Medicare, set aside enough money to cover the cost of health insurance, even if your employer offers health plans to retirees, advises Drew Denning, vice president of the retiree-services division at Principal Financial Group Inc. "It's not a vested benefit like a company pension plan, meaning a company can retract that at any point in time," he says. Also, get a physical before your current health-insurance plan expires, says Mr. Denning. Since some providers deny coverage to high-risk individuals, you'll want to know if you fall into this category. If you do, consider staying on the job a little longer to "mitigate the significant risk of a huge health-insurance claim," he advises.

Develop a long-term budget. Determine how much money you'll need on a monthly basis for as long as 40 years from now, says Sandy Timmermann, director of Mature Market Institute, a research division at MetLife Inc. People "are focused on how much money we can accumulate, but not a great deal of

Dell 2Q profit drops 17 percent and stock plunges

Market News
Computer maker Dell Inc. said Thursday its fiscal second-quarter profit fell 17 percent, hurt in part by PC price cuts. Both earnings and margins fell short of Wall Street estimates, and Dell shares plunged.

For the three-month period that ended Aug. 1, Dell's earnings dropped to $616 million, or 31 cents per share, from $746 million, or 32 cents per share in the same period last year.

Excluding amortization and business realignment charges, Dell said it would have earned 33 cents per share. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had forecast a profit of 36 cents per share.

Investors sent Dell shares down $2.50, or 10 percent, to $22.71 in after-hours trading. Earlier, the stock dropped 42 cents to close at $25.21.

Sales rose 11 percent to $16.4 billion, ahead of Wall Street's view for $15.9 billion in sales. And Dell said operating expenses fell to their lowest point in six quarters.

But the company slashed PC prices too sharply in the quarter, offsetting its attempts to cut costs and eroding its gross margin. Analysts had hoped Dell's margin would hold steady at last quarter's level of 18.4 percent, but instead it sank to 17.2 percent.

In a conference call, Chief Financial Officer Brian Gladden said Dell made "strategic pricing" changes in Europe, the Middle East and Africa to speed up growth and fend off competition from its larger competitor, Hewlett-Packard Co. The company also deferred some services-related profit from that region

ConocoPhillips sells remainder of gas stations

Market News
NEW YORK (AP) -- ConocoPhillips will sell the remainder of its gas stations in the United States, the company said Wednesday, though Conoco, Phillips 66, and 76 will continue to operate under those familiar signs.

The 600 or so stations are being sold to Pacific Convenience & Fuel LLC, a subsidiary of PetroSun Fuel.

The deal is "in the ballpark" of $800 million, said Sam Hirbod, chairman and chief executive of PetroSun and Pacific Convenience.

Part of the deal includes a long-term contract in which ConocoPhillips would provide fuel for the stations.

"If our brand is at that site, we will be supplying the gas," ConocoPhillips spokeswoman Terry Hunt said in a phone interview.

The purchase will help boost Pacific Convenience's presence in major West Coast urban areas, Hirbod said.

"We see opportunity in the future," he said in a phone interview. "As the oil companies exit, we think there will be more flexibility."

Houston-based ConocoPhillips began several years ago to spin off its retail stores, focusing more on

Euro higher against dollar

Forex
BERLIN (AP) -- The euro recovered some ground against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday after hitting a six-month low the previous day.

The euro bought $1.4692 in morning European trading, up from $1.4650 in New York late Tuesday and well above the $1.4569 it bought earlier in Tuesday's session.

The British pound, which on Tuesday hit a 25-month low, rose to $1.8420 from $1.8389. The dollar also gave up ground against the Japanese currency, declining to 109.22 yen from 109.63 yen.

The dollar slipped as oil prices rose in Asia on concerns that Tropical Storm Gustav may disrupt operations in the Gulf of Mexico, home to a quarter of U.S. crude production.

The dollar had risen sharply on Tuesday as two U.S. economic reports came in better than expected, while surveys showed business and consumer confidence dropping in Germany, the 15-nation euro zone's biggest economy.

In addition, the Federal Reserve released notes from its Aug. 5 meeting indicating that the next move for U.S. interest rates would be upward. Higher interest rates can boost a currency as investors transfer

Procter & Gamble ties laundry to fashion

Market News
CINCINNATI (AP) -- The Procter & Gamble Co. is linking laundry to fashion in what's billed as the biggest product launch yet for its venerable Tide brand.

Fashion mentor Tim Gunn of reality TV's "Project Runway" is among those involved in marketing the new "Total Care" products that P&G says draw on technology from its beauty products to let clothes keep their shape, color and new look longer through repeated washing.

The $60 million marketing campaign for the Tide detergent and Downy fabric softener products includes a tie-in with Ann Taylor Stores Corp.'s Loft unit and ads in such magazines as Elle, Vogue and Cosmopolitan, said spokesman Kash Shaikh.

It's an example of how P&G is banking on big-brand innovations to overcome a tradedown-minded U.S. consumer economy, and the company is promoting the line as a budget help because clothes can be worn more often and dry-cleaning bills reduced.

"We are trying to drive some value -- clothes, in simple terms, look good longer," said Alex Tosolini, a vice president for Fabric Care.

It's sort of an anti-aging line for clothes, using ingredients derived from Pantene hair products and Olay skin care, among others, the Cincinnati-based consumer goods company says.

Helping open the campaign is a Tide Web site featuring Gunn of Bravo's "Project Runway" and "Tim Gunn's

'How Do I Stop the Bleeding?'

Retirement Planning
Seeing your portfolio shrink can be tough so close to retirement, but you should still be investing for the long term.

Question: I’m 58 years old. At the beginning of June, my 401(k) was worth $482,000 and now it’s worth $430,000. How can I stop the bleeding? —John, Tyler, Texas

Answer: If your goal is simply to staunch the bleeding, the answer is simple. Just move all your money into your 401(k)’s money-market option. That will pretty much assure that your account balance will fall no further.

But I don’t think that should be your goal.

Why? Well, if you keep your money in your plan’s money-market option (or any guaranteed-return investment, for that matter), you’ll be relegating your retirement stash to a mediocre long-term return, which means that your nest egg isn’t likely to grow very much between now and the time you retire.

Of course, you could move it to a safe haven today with the idea of switching back to a portfolio of stocks and bonds at some point in the future. But you then have to figure out when the right time is to move it back. You don’t want to switch out of the money-market fund too soon and incur more losses. Yet if you wait too long, you can miss the big gains that come in the explosive early stages of a stock rebound.

So if stopping the bleeding isn’t the right goal, what should your objective be?

Oil prices fall over $6 on stronger dollar

Futures and Commodities
NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices tumbled more than $6 a barrel Friday -- the biggest one-day percentage plunge in nearly four years -- after a rebounding dollar and a Russian troop pullback in Georgia sparked another frenzied sell-off.

Crude's nosedive wiped out all the gains from the previous day's big rally and reaffirmed the belief that high energy prices and a softening global economy are still cutting into consumer demand for fossil fuels in the U.S. and overseas.

Light, sweet crude for October delivery fell $6.59, or 5.43 percent, to settle at $114.59 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

It was crude's largest single-day price drop percentage-wise since Dec. 27, 2004, when prices dropped 6.47 percent. In dollar terms, it was oil's steepest one-day slide since Jan. 17, 1991, just after the start of the Gulf War. Crude prices had risen for three straight days, including an almost $6 rally on Thursday.

"This is extreme volatility," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Ill. "The fact that we erased all of yesterday's gains so fast suggests that we're still in a bear market. There's just not much demand out there."

At the pump, a gallon of regular fell another penny overnight to a new national average of $3.692, according to auto club AAA, the Oil Price Information Service and Wright Express. Prices had peaked at