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HOT INVESTORS DISCUSSIONS |
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Recession Talk Worries Oil Investors |
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| author: gdz | 22 January 2008 | Views: 347 |
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NEW YORK (AP) -- A search for low-risk investments amid a U.S. economic slowdown has prompted the withdrawal of nearly $10 billion worth of crude oil futures bets by hedge funds and other large speculators in the past two weeks, according to major energy trader Goldman Sachs.
The big exit comes as oil prices have slumped more than 10 percent since reaching an intraday record of $100.09 a barrel on Jan. 3. The drop, which has come on speculation that a U.S. slowdown would make a big dent in global crude oil demand, could be exacerbated if the funds, which still have a large net amount of open bets on gains in crude prices, pull more money out.
"Heightened concerns over the economic environment, which have prompted a sharp de-risking across all assets since the beginning of the year, finally spread to oil and commodities last week," Goldman Sachs analysts led by Jeffrey Currie in London, said in a research note. "We believe in the past two weeks funds have liquidated nearly 80 to 100 million barrels" of crude oil futures bets on a gain in prices.
With New York Mercantile Exchange crude oil futures trading mostly between $90 and $95 a barrel for the past two weeks, that would put the amount liquidated so far at up to $9.5 billion.
"If all the speculative length (or bets on gains in prices) were liquidated, prices could drop to the low $80s |
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Asian Markets Rebound After Fed Cut |
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| author: gdz | 22 January 2008 | Views: 458 |
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TOKYO (AP) -- Asian stock indexes rose sharply Wednesday, rebounding from steep losses in the previous two days after a surprise interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index gained 423.82 points, or 3.37 percent, to 12,996.87 points on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in early trading. It had fallen 5.7 percent Tuesday -- its biggest percentage drop in nearly 10 years -- on fears of a recession in the U.S.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index rose as much as 3.1 percent in the opening minutes of trading. The Kospi slightly pared gains to trade up 2.7 percent at 1,652.39 about 30 minutes into the session. The Kospi fell 4.4 percent Tuesday and 3.0 percent Monday.
European stocks fell sharply at their opening Tuesday, then rose in volatile trading ahead of the Fed's decision to cut its key rate to 3.5 percent from 4.25 percent, and rose even more afterward. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 finished up 2.9 percent at 5,740.10, while France's CAC 40 gained 2.1 percent to 4,842.54. In Germany, the DAX ended barely down, off 0.3 percent at 6,769.47, as utilities RWE and E.On fell but financials such as Deutsche Bank rose.
The surprise Fed move was aimed at fears that trouble in financial markets from the U.S. subprime crisis was spreading to the broader economy. Interest rate cuts tend to boost stocks. The Canadian central |
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