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HOT INVESTORS DISCUSSIONS |
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Gas Prices Back at $3 a Gallon |
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| author: gdz | 28 December 2007 | Views: 512 |
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NEW YORK (AP) -- Gas prices rose back to $3 a gallon at the pump Friday, following rising futures prices on concerns about tight inventories and potential supply disruptions.
But oil prices fell Friday, reversing earlier gains after weak figures on new home sales ignited fresh concerns about the economy. That gave traders a green light to lock in profits from oil's recent rally.
Light, sweet crude for February delivery fell 62 cents to settle at $96 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Despite Friday's swoon, oil prices have risen 5 percent in a little more than a week.
Retail gas prices, which typically lag the futures market, are widely expected to rise to new record highs in the spring. Analysts think futures investors are anticipating big gains by buying now, driving futures -- and thus pump prices -- higher.
"They're all jumping on the gasoline bandwagon," said Tom Kloza, publisher and chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service, who predicts pump prices will peak between $3.50 and $3.75 a gallon in the spring. The Energy Information Administration recently predicted prices will peak above $3.40 a gallon |
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Berkshire Hathaway Opening Bond Insurer |
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| author: gdz | 28 December 2007 | Views: 467 |
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NEW YORK (AP) -- Town governments, school districts and other municipalities looking to borrow money got a new option Friday when trying to insure their bonds: billionaire investor Warren Buffett.
Buffett's formation of a bond insurance company provided some validation to an industry that has been battered by fears of collapse in recent weeks.
"If I was thinking of investing in financial guarantors, this would give me comfort," said Donald Light, a senior analyst with Celent. Light owns Berkshire Hathaway shares.
Though analysts said the move by Buffett provides a stamp of approval for the broader business model, which has recently come under fire, shares of Buffett's newest competitors were hammered Friday.
"Any capital new to the space for reinsurance would be a net positive," said Steve Stelmach, an analyst with Friedman, Billings, Ramsey & Co., in an interview. But if Buffett "uses capital simply as competition, it is a negative," Stelmach said.
MBIA Inc. fell 15.9 percent to close at $18.74 Friday, while Ambac fell 13.8 percent to $25.12. Earlier in the session, MBIA shares hit a 52-week low of $18.43.
The New York Insurance Department expedited the licensing for Berkshire Hathaway Assurance Corp. The state's insurance superintendent, in a statement, said the state was doing what it could to help insurers |
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Retire a Millionaire: A Numbers Breakdown |
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| author: gdz | 28 December 2007 | Views: 488 |
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Find out how much you need to save each month to reach $500,000, $1 million of $2 million by age 65.
The road to $1 million starts early, but if you're a late bloomer, help is at hand. The information below shows how much you need to save each month to accumulate $500,000, $1 million or $2 million by age 65, along with strategies for achieving that goal. At age 25, you're starting from scratch. At ages 35, 45 and 55, we assume you already have money in savings, on which you're earning 8% annually.
AGE 25
You've saved: $0 To reach $500,000, what you need to save per month: $143 To reach $1 million, what you need to save per month: $286 To reach $2 million, what you need to save per month: $573
Get help from Uncle Sam: You may qualify for a retirement-savings tax credit of 10% to 50% of the amount you contribute to an IRA, 401(k) or other retirement account. The credit can reduce your tax bill by up to $1,000. To qualify, your income must be $25,000 or less if you're single, $37,500 or less if you're |
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Citi May Write Down $18.7B, Analysts Say |
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| author: gdz | 27 December 2007 | Views: 545 |
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NEW YORK (AP) -- When Citigroup warned in early November that it was likely to write down its portfolio by $8 billion to $11 billion in the fourth quarter because of exposure to bad loans, investors recoiled at the size of the losses. Some now say those early estimates appear drastically understated.
Citigroup Inc. could write off as much as $18.7 billion in the fourth quarter, wrote Goldman analysts William F. Tanona, Betsy Miller and Neil C. Sanyal in a note to investors late Wednesday. If it does, they say, the bank may be forced to lower its dividend by 40 percent.
Citi has about $55 billion in exposure to subprime mortgages, about $43 billion of which are collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, that have mortgages underlying them.
"We still believe it will be a couple of quarters before the current credit crisis is fully digested by the markets," the Goldman analysts wrote.
Already, Citi has been propped up by a $7.5 billion investment from the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, a sovereign wealth fund that in late November bought a 4.9 percent stake in the bank.
But if Citi must write down the value of its portfolio by more than it estimated back in early November -- a |
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IRS: Late Tax Fix Delays Refunds |
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| author: gdz | 27 December 2007 | Views: 514 |
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WASHINGTON (AP) -- More than 3 million people will have to wait until February to get their tax refunds because of Congress' late fix to the alternative minimum tax, the IRS said Thursday.
Congress put a one-year freeze on growth of the alternative minimum tax last week, shielding many middle- and upper-middle income taxpayers from first exposure to the tax. But Congress' late action means the Internal Revenue Service won't be able to start processing five AMT-related forms until February, delaying potential refunds for those people until that month.
Between 3 million and 4 million people filed in January for their 2006 taxes using those forms, with many expecting a refund, the IRS said. The average refund was $2,324, the agency said.
"We regret the inconvenience the delay will mean for million of early tax filers, especially those expecting a refund," acting IRS Commissioner Linda Stiff said.
As many as 13.5 million people will have to wait until Feb. 11 to start filing with the five AMT-related forms, but the IRS said filing patterns show only between 3 million to 4 million of those people file during the early tax season anyhow.
The IRS was able to reprogram its computers to begin accepting the seven other AMT-related forms when |
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Oil Rises on Inventory Shortfalls |
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| author: gdz | 27 December 2007 | Views: 592 |
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NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil futures rose Thursday after the government reported larger-than-expected declines in crude and heating oil inventories.
In its weekly inventory report, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said oil inventories fell by 3.3 million barrels last week, more than double the 1.3 million barrel decline analysts expected. Inventories of distillates, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, fell by 2.8 million barrels, much more than the expected drop of 800,000 barrels.
"(Heating oil) stocks are just plunging," said Stephen Schork, a trader and analyst in Villanova, Pa.
Crude and heating oil supplies have declined more than expected for several weeks running, exacerbating a perception that supplies may be inadequate to meet winter demand.
Light, sweet crude for February delivery rose 65 cents to settle at $96.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after rising as high as $97.79. Heating oil futures for January delivery rose 3.91 cents to settle at $2.6803 a gallon.
Oil prices also rose on news of the assassination of Pakistani opposition leader Benazir Bhutto and a vow |
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Is the Dollar Rally Over? |
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| author: gdz | 26 December 2007 | Views: 537 |
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After holding onto its gains for the past week, the US dollar finally came under pressure today, It fell against the Euro, the Japanese Yen, the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars. The only currency it did not drop against was the Japanese Yen, which benefitted from overall carry trade demand. Does this mean that the rally in the dollar over? Probably not. Despite the rebound in the EUR/USD today, the currency pair still remains within its 1.43 to 1.45 trading range. Even the AUD/USD and NZD/USD are capped below resistance. Next week, trading should be exceptionally quiet which means that a break of these resistance levels is unlikely.
According to the latest reports from the Commerce Department, the US consumer spent more than they had made during the month of November, with personal spending rising by 1.1 percent and personal income rising by only 0.4 percent. This caused personal savings to dip into negative territory for the first time in 15 months as disposable income fell to -0.5 percent. Lowered savings and increased spending is not a promising recovery strategy for a country which already has huge government deficits, but the Commerce Department stated that the increase in spending was a much-needed boost for the dragging economy. US consumers are on a spending frenzy with the savings rate hitting its lowest level since Hurricane Katrina in August of 2005. The core inflation rate is also growing by 2.2 percent year-over |
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October Home Prices Post Record Decline |
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| author: gdz | 26 December 2007 | Views: 484 |
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NEW YORK (AP) -- U.S. home prices fell in October for the 10th consecutive month, posting their largest drop since early 1991, according to a key index released Wednesday.
The record 6.7 percent slide in the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller home price index also marked the 23rd consecutive month that prices either fell or grew more slowly than the month prior.
"No matter how you look at these data, it is obvious that the current state of the single-family housing market remains grim," said Robert Shiller, who helped create the index, in a statement.
The previous record decline was 6.3 percent, recorded in April 1991. The index tracks prices of existing single-family homes in 10 metropolitan areas.
It is considered a strong measure of home prices because it examines price changes of the same property over time, instead of calculating a median price of homes sold during the month.
Home prices could fall another 10 percent over the next 12 to 18 months before bottoming out, said Patrick Newport, an economist with financial consultancy Global Insight, in an interview.
Newport said four of the largest groups currently trying to sell homes -- banks holding foreclosed |
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Buffett Buys $4.5B Stake in Marmon |
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| author: gdz | 26 December 2007 | Views: 523 |
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CHICAGO (AP) -- Warren Buffett's investment company announced Tuesday it will pay $4.5 billion for 60 percent of Marmon Holdings Inc., a private company of more than 125 manufacturing and service businesses.
Berkshire Hathaway Inc., based in Omaha, Neb., said it plans to acquire the remaining 40 percent of Marmon over the next five to six years depending on future earnings of Marmon, according to a statement released Tuesday by both companies.
Marmon is owned by trusts for the benefits of the Pritzker family of Chicago, the family that developed the Hyatt Hotel chain.
The deal is expected to close in the first quarter of 2008. Before the closing, Marmon said it will make a "substantial distribution of cash and certain assets to the selling shareholders," according to the statement.
Brothers Jay and Robert Pritzker acquired Marmon in 1953 when it was a small manufacturing operation in Ohio, according to the release. In 2002, Jay's son Tom Pritzker took over as chairman.
"Our transaction was done just the way Jay would have liked it to be done -- no consultants or studies," Buffett said in the statement. "I am pleased that over the next five to six years, we will be partnering and |
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Log Off: Two Internet Stocks to Avoid |
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| author: gdz | 21 December 2007 | Views: 473 |
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Investing in stocks, in some ways, is a lot like investing in real estate. Location matters. So when looking for stocks that are likely to be higher a year from now, make sure that you are sticking with the right locations, the right neighborhoods, before committing your hard-earned money. PowerRatings make it easy for investors to stay out of the bad areas, the industries that are likely to underperform both the market and the average industry going forward. By looking to see which industries have low, "in the red" PowerRatings of 1, 2, or 3 -- and rarely if ever buying stocks from those low-rated industry groups -- investors can save themselves from both a great deal of grief and a poorly performing portfolio.
Our research, looking back on thousands and thousands of simulated trades, supports our aversion to low-rated industries. For example, industries with a 2 PowerRating, since 1995, have provided an average annualized return of less than 6%. By comparison, the average industry has returned 14.61%. And the better industries, the industries with "in the green," high PowerRatings have performed even better. 10-rated industries, for example, have returned upwards of 35% on an average annualized basis.
So when it comes to the "wrong" neighborhoods, industries with low PowerRatings are it.
One of those low PowerRating industries, an industry investors should steer clear of, is the Internet |
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